Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.025186 0.030305 0.035671 0.041673 0.048161 0.054926 0.062480
2026-02-01 0.017175 0.024218 0.032147 0.041535 0.052174 0.063711 0.077032
2026-02-08 0.011146 0.018752 0.027968 0.039466 0.053026 0.068184 0.086120
2026-02-15 0.007611 0.015407 0.025554 0.038799 0.054923 0.073367 0.095584
2026-02-22 0.005551 0.013491 0.024522 0.039467 0.058114 0.079812 0.106280
2026-03-01 0.004045 0.011982 0.023750 0.040244 0.061264 0.086071 0.116647
2026-03-08 0.003080 0.011068 0.023624 0.041723 0.065178 0.093158 0.127913
2026-03-15 0.002164 0.009942 0.023026 0.042456 0.068068 0.098954 0.137609
2026-03-22 0.001997 0.010263 0.024570 0.046070 0.074596 0.109136 0.152485
2026-03-29 0.001100 0.008584 0.022841 0.045063 0.075130 0.111972 0.158591
2026-04-05 0.000669 0.007770 0.022369 0.045730 0.077765 0.117334 0.167673
2026-04-12 0.000311 0.006793 0.021491 0.045731 0.079471 0.121507 0.175295
2026-04-19 0.000101 0.005996 0.020890 0.046192 0.081908 0.126762 0.184459
2026-04-26 0.000004 0.005118 0.020012 0.046186 0.083704 0.131228 0.192699
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003729 0.017831 0.044020 0.082459 0.131777 0.196092
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002927 0.016660 0.043317 0.083141 0.134715 0.202366
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002556 0.016392 0.044025 0.085758 0.140109 0.211652
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002249 0.016212 0.044847 0.088517 0.145675 0.221144
2026-05-31 NaN 0.002122 0.016482 0.046411 0.092323 0.152591 0.232310
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001856 0.016300 0.047185 0.094992 0.158027 0.241634
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002176 0.017879 0.050998 0.102020 0.169135 0.258026
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001600 0.016655 0.049936 0.102035 0.171110 0.263035
2026-06-28 NaN 0.001382 0.016464 0.050640 0.104573 0.176362 0.272122